Polymarket Trader

Ida.kai

0x484a8e47f0d85d18cf4925211ba9ac7c3003754a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $377.87
Realized PnL: $71.83
Win rate: 12.5%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $9.76
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $466.43
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $150.8
Potential payout: $159.57
Potential profit: $8.78
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $110.88
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $6.76
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $10.88

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $102.94
Potential profit: $98.26
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $17.14
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $78.1
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$2.86

Yes position

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $70.83
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $16.33
Potential payout: $75.76
Potential profit: $59.43
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $54.64
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $7.65
Potential payout: $50.85
Potential profit: $43.19
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $8.99
Potential payout: $43.1
Potential profit: $34.12
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $9.15
Potential payout: $38.93
Potential profit: $29.78
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$10.85

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $20.44
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $8.97
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $22.52
Potential profit: $17.69
Multiplier: 4.66x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $18.48
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$4.25

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $6.85
Potential profit: $3.8
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$1.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.69

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Up 85% 29.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Down 29% 86.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Up 83.9% 29.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Down 48% 10.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Up 95% 5.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Down 7% 71.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Down 28% 17.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Up 50% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Up 50% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Down 97% 25.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Down 57% 8.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Up 37% 13.51 shares