Polymarket Trader

0x484c42F86C43C1D350E8e8b934A9c6c7dFe09E74-1769938150786

0x484c42f86c43c1d350e8e8b934a9c6c7dfe09e74

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $89.44
Realized PnL: $15.92
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $2.54K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $977.75
Potential profit: $977.75
User PnL: -$149.5

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $82.45
Potential payout: $662.28
Potential profit: $579.83
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: $62.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $613.64
Potential profit: $613.64
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.56
Potential payout: $466.11
Potential profit: $463.55
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$7.44

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $4.42
Potential payout: $294.68
Potential profit: $290.26
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$5.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240.05
Potential profit: $240.05
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.5
Potential profit: $227.5
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.48
Potential profit: $149.48
User PnL: -$10

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.54
Potential profit: $82.54
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $54
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.49
Potential profit: $15.49
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.36

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.26

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Djokovic position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Down 1% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Down 22% 113.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Up 4% 125 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Up 4% 125 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Down 19% 131.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Up 37% 67.57 shares
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Up 6.1% 82.54 shares
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Up 54% 5 shares
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Up 9.3% 54 shares
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Up 32.3% 15.49 shares
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Up 4% 125 shares
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Up 20% 25 shares