Polymarket Trader

eightywan

0x4853612a3ec6cb9139c96284aabbb10d6655fa56

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: -$29.28K
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.82K
Potential profit: $18.82K
User PnL: -$1.85K

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.74K
Potential profit: $18.74K
User PnL: -$16.87K

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$1.58K

Under position

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $372.87
Potential profit: $372.87
User PnL: -$328.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23K

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $953.93

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $760.51

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $486.27

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $366.91

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $349.91

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.29

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.79

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.5

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.13

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Jordan position

Spread: Austria (-3.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Jordan position

Spread: Austria (-2.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-5.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Germany leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Under position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.7K

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.02K

Rockets position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24.49K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Austria (-2.5)

Jordan 77% 5,046.92 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 90% 18,741.55 shares
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5

Under 88% 267.87 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5

Under 99% 1,318.47 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 99.9% 10,000 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 90% 18,269.84 shares
Germany leading at halftime?

Yes 98% 1,426.53 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 94.6% 7,552.47 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 89% 4,232.25 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Thunder 2% 27,093.58 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Thunder 46% 8,000 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Thunder 38% 46,408.1 shares