tsykk92eaby9

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $3.78
Potential payout: $60.4
Potential profit: $56.63
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$5.89

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $4.11
Potential payout: $42.36
Potential profit: $38.26
Multiplier: 10.31x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $38.62
Potential profit: $37.19
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: -$3.57

Yes position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $34.02
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $31.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$3.17

Yes position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $28.89
Potential profit: $27.81
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$3.92

Yes position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $24.58
Potential profit: $23.56
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$8.98

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $23.77
Potential profit: $22.7
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $7.96
Potential payout: $17.3
Potential profit: $9.34
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Megaquake by June 30?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $16.63
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$4.39

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $15.09
Potential profit: $11.85
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $2.48
Potential payout: $14.58
Potential profit: $12.1
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$2.48

Yes position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $7.29
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.13
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$4.24

Yes position

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $4.36
Potential payout: $13.02
Potential profit: $8.66
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $3.51
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $8.39
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$1.49

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $10.29
Potential payout: $10.31
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

X banned in any European country by December 31?

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $1.89
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $7.55
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$3.11

Yes position

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $7.95
Potential profit: $7.42
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$4.47

No position

Weed rescheduled by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $6.88
Potential payout: $6.94
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $1.88

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $5.16
Potential payout: $6.58
Potential profit: $1.41
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $6.39
Potential payout: $6.44
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $5.09
Potential payout: $6.32
Potential profit: $1.23
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.25

Yes position

US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.46

No position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.41

Rhodes position

Wrestlefest: Cody Rhodes vs. Randy Orton

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.23

No position

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.81

Vitality position

Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Spirit (+2.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

Vitality position

Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

G2 position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

Team Falcons position

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Vitality position

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95

Spirit position

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

FURIA position

Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Natus Vincere position

Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

Vitality position

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Vitality position

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

TheMongolz position

Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-03-29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?