Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $930.38
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $335.44
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$69.62
Polymarket Trader
GidGud
0x4867293b553c91c8f35a8fd811660d23c353a6f8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.83K
- Realized PnL
- $1.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $458.33
- Potential payout
- $925.92
- Potential profit
- $467.59
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$41.67
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $317.79
- Potential profit
- $317.63
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$23.99
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $220.5
- Potential payout
- $247.75
- Potential profit
- $27.25
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.53
N
No position
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $171
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $29
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $104.82
- Potential profit
- $101.94
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$96.59
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $27.35
- Potential payout
- $81.65
- Potential profit
- $54.3
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$45.32
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $6.82
- Potential payout
- $75.75
- Potential profit
- $68.93
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$43.18
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $60.11
- Potential profit
- $58.94
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$2.43
Y
Yes position
Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by more than 50%?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $58.51
- Potential profit
- $58.48
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.73
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $12.54
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $44.46
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$39.9
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $41.99
- Potential profit
- $41.97
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.92
Y
Yes position
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.7
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$15.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.6
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.9
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.24
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.87
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.42
Yes position
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.44
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.68
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.08
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.28
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.8
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.37
No position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.73
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.7
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $30.43
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.07
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.06
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.6
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.22
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.64
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.14
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?Yes 4% 68.73 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Yes 4.9% 10 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Yes 5% 27.24 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 95% 23.03 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?No 95.6% 10 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?No 96.1% 10 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Yes 3.8% 7.47 shares
- Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 6% 57.29 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?No 96.5% 100 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18?Down 1.1% 274.58 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 6% 0.01 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 6.2% 100 shares