Yes position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $329.52
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $787.49
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$72.61
Polymarket Trader
da66ers
0x486b4695657102f66a595701106d2dbab87f3ea7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $639.39
- Realized PnL
- $4.71K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $282.29
- Potential payout
- $369
- Potential profit
- $86.71
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $38.74
No position
MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $27.38
- Potential payout
- $74
- Potential profit
- $46.62
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$15.54
Yes position
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.79
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-04-18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $716.22
Yes position
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28%
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $498.75
Over position
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.46
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $279.72
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 2 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.09
No position
Will Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (April 12)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.16
Over position
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.1
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club position
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.55
Yes position
Will MFK Karviná win on 2026-04-11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.48
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 23, 4PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.34
Yes position
Canva IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $169.95
No position
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.58
No position
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $160.2
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "ICE" during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.98
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $114
Under position
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 4.5
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.23
Yes position
Will Trump say "Auto" or "Automobile" during National Agriculture Day events?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $109.25
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.8
Yes position
Will "State of the Union" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $78.8
Yes position
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $74.8
Yes position
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in February 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.94
Yes position
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- $71.9
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ballistic Missile" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.42
Yes position
Will Trump post "IRGC" or "Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?No 40% 1,082 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?No 71% 321 shares
- Will "Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-" win Best Action Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?No 33% 699 shares
- Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 17% 100 shares
- MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?No 24% 25 shares
- Will Tochigi SC vs. Thespa Gunma end in a draw?No 1.1% 911 shares
- Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 18% 6 shares
- Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)EC Juventude 50% 378 shares
- Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?No 86% 1,082 shares
- Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?No 53% 141 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 57% 825 shares
- Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?Yes 60% 23 shares