Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $32.77
- Potential payout
- $771.04
- Potential profit
- $738.27
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- $6.7
Polymarket Trader
WeatherHK
0x488c725253fc21c7a9ca812030dc2f6343f98c1c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.27K
- Realized PnL
- $24.77K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $182.19
- Potential payout
- $714.49
- Potential profit
- $532.3
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $13.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $104.27
- Potential payout
- $521.36
- Potential profit
- $417.09
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $20.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $460.79
- Potential profit
- $459.63
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $30.33
- Potential payout
- $303.32
- Potential profit
- $272.99
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $9.95
No position
Will Hong Kong have between 375-400mm of precipitation in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $245.87
- Potential payout
- $247.11
- Potential profit
- $1.24
- User PnL
- $6.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $115.71
- Potential payout
- $233.76
- Potential profit
- $118.05
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $78.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $28.66
- Potential payout
- $229.29
- Potential profit
- $200.63
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $8.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $29.94
- Potential payout
- $161.84
- Potential profit
- $131.9
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $26.7
No position
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $94.16
- Potential payout
- $158.26
- Potential profit
- $64.1
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$8.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $149.93
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $19.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $51.34
- Potential payout
- $115.37
- Potential profit
- $64.03
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $35.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $37.39
- Potential payout
- $54.99
- Potential profit
- $17.6
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $4.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $49.98
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $10.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $44.28
- Potential payout
- $45.42
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $24.99
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $15.99
No position
Will Hong Kong have less than 350mm of precipitation in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $18.99
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $18.97
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $11.18
- Potential payout
- $16.94
- Potential profit
- $5.76
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Hong Kong have 500mm or more of precipitation in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $14.88
- Potential profit
- $14.58
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.15K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $998
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $997.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $764.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $695.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $676.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $657.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $569.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $547.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $494.6
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $472.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $438.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $424.49
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414.47
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.4
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?Yes 16% 94.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?No 59% 54.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?Yes 2% 161.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?Yes 17.4% 150.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?Yes 14% 24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?Yes 14% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 17?No 97.9% 45.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?Yes 40.4% 134.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 17?No 36% 25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 17?Yes 0.2% 414.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 17?Yes 6.9% 196.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?Yes 13.7% 249.39 shares