Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.01K
- Potential profit
- $33.01K
- User PnL
- -$680.65
Polymarket Trader
heresjimmy
0x48afe8fbde091ff3e616901dc92ef20862c289cc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.32K
- Realized PnL
- $133.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $25K
- User PnL
- -$827.27
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.99K
- Potential profit
- $22.99K
- User PnL
- -$626.22
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $2.32K
- Potential payout
- $17.2K
- Potential profit
- $14.88K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$602
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16K
- Potential profit
- $16K
- User PnL
- -$1.57K
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14K
- Potential profit
- $14K
- User PnL
- -$185.26
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.46K
- Potential profit
- $12.46K
- User PnL
- -$347.68
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.7K
- Potential profit
- $11.7K
- User PnL
- -$241.75
No position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.21K
- Potential profit
- $11.21K
- User PnL
- -$557.6
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.64K
- Potential profit
- $9.64K
- User PnL
- -$1.62K
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.64K
- Potential profit
- $9.64K
- User PnL
- -$352.22
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.33K
- Potential profit
- $9.33K
- User PnL
- -$549.95
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $8K
- User PnL
- -$705.48
Yes position
Will Bryce Mitchell be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.09K
- Potential profit
- $7.09K
- User PnL
- -$420.1
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.04K
- Potential profit
- $7.04K
- User PnL
- -$274.52
Yes position
US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.99K
- Potential profit
- $6.99K
- User PnL
- -$2.48K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.66K
- Potential profit
- $6.66K
- User PnL
- -$1.4K
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.42K
- Potential profit
- $5.42K
- User PnL
- -$384.64
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.36K
- Potential profit
- $5.36K
- User PnL
- -$392.81
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$872.8
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.81K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17K
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.45K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.59K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.56K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4K
Yes position
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.92K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91K
No position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85K
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 22?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $924.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 16% 800 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 16% 16,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 17% 3,999.99 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 17% 29,999.99 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes 65% 1,089 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 86% 1,600 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 82.7% 4,696 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 80.8% 419.37 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes 9.1% 20,000 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 21% 10,000 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes 9% 10,000 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes 9% 10,000 shares