No position
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $1.73K
- Potential payout
- $1.91K
- Potential profit
- $171.49
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$66.07
Polymarket Trader
DARKA1977
0x48b1bd1d82e22fc774395fc9eb77d6022ead3713
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.73K
- Realized PnL
- $3.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.35
- Potential profit
- $9.35
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.96
- Potential profit
- $4.96
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.49
- Potential profit
- $4.49
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $519.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $427.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.02
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.69
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?No 94.5% 1,905.42 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 2,068.96 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 87% 2,068.97 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETUp 91% 108.47 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETUp 99% 100.86 shares
- Solana Up or Down - April 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETDown 98% 10.17 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp 96.9% 10.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETDown 96% 1.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETDown 21% 4.22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETUp 10% 8.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETUp 19% 4.65 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETDown 1% 85.74 shares