Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.28K
- Potential profit
- $5.28K
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
patrasq
0x48c1ddb22bdebaf9f2ecc5b1117fa9ab41fc4f71
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $159.57
- Realized PnL
- -$23.93
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $12.8
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $787.2
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$7.2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $672.47
- Potential profit
- $672.47
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $318.33
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $71.78
- Potential payout
- $224.32
- Potential profit
- $152.54
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$48.22
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $6.83
- Potential payout
- $177.27
- Potential profit
- $170.45
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$23.17
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $13.52
- Potential payout
- $136.58
- Potential profit
- $123.06
- Multiplier
- 10.10x
- User PnL
- $3.52
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.79
- Potential payout
- $128.21
- Potential profit
- $126.41
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$3.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $127.84
- Potential profit
- $127.2
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.36
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.64
- Potential payout
- $103.94
- Potential profit
- $101.3
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$7.36
Yes position
Will Elon register the America Party before October?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.01
- Potential profit
- $103.01
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $86.11
- Potential profit
- $85.16
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$49.05
Yes position
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $3.98
- Potential payout
- $78.89
- Potential profit
- $74.91
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$6.02
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Current value
- $19.66
- Potential payout
- $52.08
- Potential profit
- $32.42
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $9.98
- Potential payout
- $47.85
- Potential profit
- $37.87
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.63
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $8.44
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 26?Yes 7.8% 127.84 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 7.3% 136.58 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 9.6% 103.94 shares
- Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR?Yes 12.7% 78.89 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 38.4% 52.08 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 20.9% 47.85 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 90% 64.93 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes 53% 113.21 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes 54% 111.11 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 6% 333.33 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 77% 64.94 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 3.9% 128.21 shares