Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.72K
- Potential profit
- $10.72K
- User PnL
- -$198.21
Polymarket Trader
LWHikarikYT
@LWHikarik
0x48c7dc71252b70ccea876b386ebea3cae84ae4b0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $375.69
- Realized PnL
- $10.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67K
- Potential profit
- $6.67K
- User PnL
- -$1.43K
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.18K
- Potential profit
- $6.18K
- User PnL
- -$145.17
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.75K
- Potential profit
- $4.75K
- User PnL
- -$230.91
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.02K
- Potential profit
- $3.02K
- User PnL
- -$23
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- User PnL
- -$246.16
Rico position
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- User PnL
- -$153.06
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$478.23
No position
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$12.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $709.52
- Potential profit
- $709.52
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $353.75
- Potential payout
- $673.81
- Potential profit
- $320.06
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $113.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $604.54
- Potential profit
- $604.54
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $576.96
- Potential profit
- $576.96
- User PnL
- -$48
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $20.14
- Potential payout
- $569.01
- Potential profit
- $548.87
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$60.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $530.38
- Potential profit
- $530.38
- User PnL
- -$24.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $519.04
- Potential profit
- $519.04
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $517.45
- Potential profit
- $517.45
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $485.43
- Potential profit
- $485.43
- User PnL
- -$106
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $464.97
- Potential profit
- $464.97
- User PnL
- -$201.5
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $420.63
- Potential profit
- $420.63
- User PnL
- -$170.2
Yes position
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $376.47
- Potential profit
- $376.47
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
Yes position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Yes position
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $840.42
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $705.77
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $625.08
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $609.4
No position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $353.55
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.56
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.73
Yes position
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.42
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $78.57
No position
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.16
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.24
Daniil Medvedev position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.05
No position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.02
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.64
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $14.85
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $14.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 51.3% 153.56 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 50% 78.86 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No 32% 132.1 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 1.3% 923.08 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 30% 40 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 24.4% 409.03 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 63.3% 180.09 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 68% 11.76 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 26% 153.85 shares
- Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Yes 24.8% 201.27 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 26% 230.77 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes 1% 1,102.57 shares