Polymarket Trader

Acotn

0x48da00a574fa77b8c734377db640cc7c26980419

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.5K
Realized PnL: $29.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $1.93K
Potential payout: $10.29K
Potential profit: $8.36K
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $11.01

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $1.56K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.45K
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: $275

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $3.27K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $6.72K
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $985

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $1.74K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $2.26K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$220

Uzbekistan position

Spread: Portugal (-4.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45K
Potential profit: $3.45K
User PnL: -$2.3K

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$2.71K

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.55K

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.73K

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.1K

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.26K

United States position

Spread: United States (-2.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.63K
User PnL: -$800.17

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$503.82

Yes position

United States to win the second half?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.21K

No position

Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69K

No position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07K

No position

Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74K

Yes position

Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53K

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Norway position

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $994.31

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $800

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $720

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $714.98

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $713.67

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $664.96

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $660

Yes position

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $648.93

No position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $590.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 49% 4,000 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38.4% 1,412.72 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 87% 500 shares
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance

Canada 72% 750 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 48% 1,000 shares
Spread: Portugal (-4.5)

Uzbekistan 56% 11.28 shares
Spread: Portugal (-4.5)

Uzbekistan 75% 500 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

No 33% 1,100 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

No 31% 3,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 6,499.96 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 91% 1,000 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

No 93% 1,000 shares