No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $66.61
- Potential payout
- $77
- Potential profit
- $10.39
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.16
Polymarket Trader
809DG76
0x48dfecca473e4a85d589aa1c56100ef98b38b7aa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $169.68
- Realized PnL
- -$6.51
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Current value
- $50.67
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $6.33
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Current value
- $41.29
- Potential payout
- $47
- Potential profit
- $5.71
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Current value
- $11.11
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.85
- Potential profit
- $6.85
- User PnL
- -$5
FaZe position
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.62
- Potential profit
- $3.62
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.02
- Potential profit
- $3.02
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.55
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
No position
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.66
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.26
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$3.05
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes 12% 20.98 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 92.7% 12 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 88% 47 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No 85% 77 shares
- Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No 87.9% 57 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes 39% 20.99 shares
- Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 93.3% 27 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No 89.6% 36 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 83% 58 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo 85% 85 shares
- Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 93% 27 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No 89.5% 36 shares