No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $8.18
- Potential payout
- $15.29
- Potential profit
- $7.11
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Polymarket Trader
0x48e4...201c
0x48e464562b69425374504eaa6787a9cc8151201c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $79.87
- Realized PnL
- -$16.51
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $11.25
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $3.46
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $11.29
- Potential payout
- $12.08
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $11.14
- Potential payout
- $11.79
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $10.96
- Potential payout
- $11.79
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $200 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $7.07
- Potential payout
- $11.41
- Potential profit
- $4.34
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.25
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $3.78
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $5.22
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $7.4
- Potential payout
- $8.6
- Potential profit
- $1.2
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $4.8
- Potential profit
- $2.76
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $1.56
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.49
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.61
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94
No position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.61
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.91
No position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.71
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.9
No position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.9
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.95
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.01
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No 68% 14.71 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $200 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 71% 11.41 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 27.1% 6.53 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes 27% 6.81 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No 46% 3 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.9% 10.01 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 27% 6 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 42% 8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 68% 2.03 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 45% 4.8 shares
- Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?Yes 67% 14.97 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes 29% 9 shares