No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $22.79
- Potential payout
- $555.78
- Potential profit
- $532.99
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$7.21
Polymarket Trader
camtomo
0x4906519b8b658eba58d3daf27d50be539ace7e10
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $355.75
- Realized PnL
- $135.47
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $49.25
- Potential payout
- $307.82
- Potential profit
- $258.57
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $6.52
- Potential payout
- $277.5
- Potential profit
- $270.98
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$26.78
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $69.45
- Potential payout
- $262.08
- Potential profit
- $192.63
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$62.24
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $65.32
- Potential payout
- $261.26
- Potential profit
- $195.95
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- $15.32
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $17.06
- Potential payout
- $126.39
- Potential profit
- $109.33
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$7.62
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $54.64
- Potential payout
- $107.14
- Potential profit
- $52.5
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $24.64
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: June
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $93.99
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $52.64
- Potential payout
- $75.76
- Potential profit
- $23.11
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $2.64
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $6.58
- Potential payout
- $41.13
- Potential profit
- $34.55
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$7.2
No position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $6.62
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.67
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.91
Yes position
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.09
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Mariana Soares position
ITF Brasilia: Camila Romero vs Mariana Soares
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
THUNDER dOWNUNDER position
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.89
No position
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Y
Yes position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.46
Yes position
Will Luxembourg win on 2026-06-03?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$74.98
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$81.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?Yes 16.2% 307.82 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?Yes 28% 107.14 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 11.7% 423.11 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 19.1% 261.26 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No 5.4% 555.78 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 0.1% 110.23 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 15?Yes 1.3% 118.75 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 15?Yes 8% 150 shares
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 61% 20 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 13% 15 shares
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 57% 20 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 32% 164.53 shares