Polymarket Trader

eb-bot

0x4907337dee4ace8a8c8d8c07fac103a6d983cdc2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $104.66
Realized PnL: $729.95
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $507.81
Potential profit: $506.29
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$48.7

Yes position

Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $6.04
Potential payout: $335.75
Potential profit: $329.71
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$33.96

Yes position

Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $23.8
Potential payout: $297.47
Potential profit: $273.68
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$6.2

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $279.65
Potential profit: $279.51
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$14.86

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $3.24
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $181.94
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $103.92
Potential profit: $101.84
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$2.79

Yes position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.81
Potential payout: $80.41
Potential profit: $78.6
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$13.19

No position

Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26.8%
Current value: $14.89
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $40.67
Multiplier: 3.73x
User PnL: $9.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $15.83
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $39.73
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $5.83

Yes position

Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $37.64
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$4.18

Yes position

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.97
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $28.28
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.03

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $4.86
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $22.92
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $6.53
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $9.6
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $1.53

No position

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $10.07
Potential payout: $12.66
Potential profit: $2.6
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $5.05
Potential payout: $7.27
Potential profit: $2.22
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $236.83

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.77

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $68.1

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $54.81

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.55

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.85

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $18.76

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.15

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.12

SPARTA position

Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Ursa - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.32

G2 position

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.23

Yes position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.62

Virtus.pro position

Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.84

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $11.55

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.04

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $10.28

Yes position

Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.55

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.34

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.56

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.67

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.36

No position

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Down 56% 8.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Up 58% 8.62 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 18% 27.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 18% 27.78 shares
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

No 80% 6.25 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Yes 12% 71.42 shares
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?

Yes 0.2% 81.98 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 27.13 shares
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

No 78% 6.41 shares
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

No 84% 5.95 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 64% 0.8 shares
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?

Yes 1.1% 103.74 shares