No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $116.56
- Potential payout
- $124.66
- Potential profit
- $8.1
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.12
Polymarket Trader
0x490e...123a
0x490e59912217dc88940c4f879115d67cd65a123a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $202.22
- Realized PnL
- $1.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $75.83
- Potential profit
- $75.8
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.69
Y
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $7.57
- Potential payout
- $68.78
- Potential profit
- $61.21
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$15.13
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $57.22
- Potential payout
- $58.24
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $57.36
- Potential profit
- $57.19
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$6.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $44.74
- Potential profit
- $44.71
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $23.47
- Potential profit
- $23.46
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.51
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $10.44
- Potential payout
- $11.19
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $4.41
- Potential payout
- $6.44
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $5.78
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.32
Under position
France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.9
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $68.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.86
Nadia Podoroska position
ITF San Gregorio: Nadia Podoroska vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.72
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.22
Under position
France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.13
Yes position
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.91
No position
Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.04
No position
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.48
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.37
Yes position
Chirayu Rana fired?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $26.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.17
No position
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.06
Over position
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.97
Ajla Tomljanovic position
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.17
No position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $24.69
Up position
XRP Up or Down - April 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.3
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 22?Yes 3.6% 47.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 22?Yes 3.6% 28.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?Yes 11% 57.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 22?Yes 7.6% 44.74 shares
- Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 99.7% 8.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?Yes 93.3% 79.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?Yes 10% 1.65 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?Yes 10% 0.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?Yes 13.2% 21 shares
- Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 32% 10.18 shares
- Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 56% 7.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 22?Yes 16% 27.38 shares