Polymarket Trader

aureli

0x490f66ea703fc8fae19fd231c9921e3f4c0c17e5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $396.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will de Goes Rodrygo win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.33K
Potential profit: $135.33K
User PnL: -$862.97

Yes position

Will Jamal Musiala win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.33K
Potential profit: $135.33K
User PnL: -$862.97

Yes position

Will Alexander Isak win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.71K
Potential profit: $134.71K
User PnL: -$862.26

Yes position

Will Desire Doue win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.7K
Potential profit: $134.7K
User PnL: -$862.19

Yes position

Will Harry Kane win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.7K
Potential profit: $134.7K
User PnL: -$862.19

Yes position

Will Jude Bellingham win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.7K
Potential profit: $134.7K
User PnL: -$862.18

Yes position

Will Federico Valverde win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.69K
Potential profit: $134.69K
User PnL: -$862.18

Yes position

Will Virgil van Dijk win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.71K
Potential profit: $133.71K
User PnL: -$857.09

Yes position

Will Jose Vinicius Junior win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.11K
Potential profit: $133.11K
User PnL: -$856.93

Yes position

Will Lautaro Martínez win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.11K
Potential profit: $126.11K
User PnL: -$710.01

Yes position

Will Robert Lewandowski win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.77K
Potential profit: $111.77K
User PnL: -$379.45

Yes position

Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.49K
Potential profit: $111.49K
User PnL: -$2.03K

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.47K
Potential profit: $111.47K
User PnL: -$375.98

Yes position

Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.01K
Potential profit: $110.01K
User PnL: -$2.01K

Yes position

Will Nuno Mendes win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.11K
Potential profit: $107.11K
User PnL: -$353.89

Yes position

Will Cole Palmer win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.54K
Potential profit: $105.54K
User PnL: -$354.3

Yes position

Will Gianluigi Donnarumma win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.63K
Potential profit: $103.63K
User PnL: -$352.55

Yes position

Will Pedri win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.53K
Potential profit: $102.53K
User PnL: -$351.59

Yes position

Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.28K
Potential profit: $75.28K
User PnL: -$1.45K

Yes position

Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.97K
Potential profit: $74.97K
User PnL: -$1.36K

Yes position

Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.91K
Potential profit: $74.91K
User PnL: -$1.76K

Yes position

Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.68K
Potential profit: $60.68K
User PnL: -$1.05K

Yes position

Will María Galindo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.68K
Potential profit: $44.68K
User PnL: -$74.44

Yes position

Will Eva Copa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.87K
Potential profit: $43.87K
User PnL: -$74.71

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70.25K

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.7K

Yes position

Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.86K

Yes position

Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.84K

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.48K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.1K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.13K

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.67K

Yes position

Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.46K

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.08K

Yes position

Will the ECB announce an increase at the September meeting?

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.61K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.32K

Yes position

Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.59K

Yes position

Will Sky win the USDH ticker?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.9K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.01K

Yes position

Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.28K

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.13K

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.64K

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.71K

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.56K

Yes position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.26K

Yes position

Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.03K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.98K

Yes position

Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.98K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 41% 800.26 shares
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

No 6.1% 5,000 shares
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

No 11.8% 4,221.42 shares
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?

Yes 83.4% 50 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

No 94.9% 50 shares
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?

Yes 85% 25.52 shares
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

No 94.9% 50 shares
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?

Yes 5.9% 5.22 shares
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?

Yes 85% 50 shares
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?

No 8% 50 shares
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?

No 37% 50 shares
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?

Yes 63% 50 shares