Polymarket Trader

willydh

0x4910842d27c641e6c23c6680c115da4db100c095

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $71.53K
Realized PnL: $25.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $51.45K
Potential payout: $55K
Potential profit: $3.55K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $64.51

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.33K
Potential profit: $32.33K
User PnL: -$29.75K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $19.53K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $470
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $330

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.6K
Potential profit: $6.6K
User PnL: -$5.88K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $225
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$495

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $44.95
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $965.06
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$354.7

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $118
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $882
Multiplier: 8.47x
User PnL: $59

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $162.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $837.5
Multiplier: 6.15x
User PnL: -$36.5

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73K

No position

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33K

No position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

Yes position

No Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $1.11K

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

GPT-5 not announced in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $909.61

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $864.18

No position

Trump wins every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $790.02

No position

Trump out as President in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $755.74

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $604.84

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $541.37

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $517.71

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $490.5

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.72

Yes position

$BTC dips below $55k before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.56

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.32

Yes position

$BTC dips below $60k before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

No position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.87

No position

Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

No 96% 20,000 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.4% 8,408.58 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.4% 20,000 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.5% 20,000 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 70% 2,000 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 65% 2,000 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 64% 354.11 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

No 33.2% 35.03 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 98.3% 2,354.45 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 98.3% 921.78 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 96.4% 3,086.9 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

No 97% 265.95 shares