Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $167.66
- Potential profit
- $167.66
- User PnL
- -$60.36
Polymarket Trader
happy-mammut
0x49199e281e884c0706ea2e16c35b1a00aab889a1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $60.86
- Realized PnL
- $173.98
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.86
- Potential profit
- $87.86
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.79
- Potential profit
- $50.79
- User PnL
- -$5.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.98
- Potential profit
- $36.98
- User PnL
- -$32.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.29
- Potential profit
- $30.29
- User PnL
- -$19.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or higher on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.77
- Potential profit
- $27.77
- User PnL
- -$19.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.29
- Potential profit
- $25.29
- User PnL
- -$3.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.94
- Potential profit
- $23.94
- User PnL
- -$20.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.84
- Potential profit
- $23.84
- User PnL
- -$9.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.84
- Potential profit
- $23.84
- User PnL
- -$4.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.35
- Potential profit
- $23.35
- User PnL
- -$5.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $3.49
- Potential payout
- $23.3
- Potential profit
- $19.8
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.13
- Potential profit
- $23.13
- User PnL
- -$9.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $20.18
- Potential payout
- $23.07
- Potential profit
- $2.88
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $13.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $23.06
- Potential profit
- $20.18
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $22.71
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $23
- User PnL
- -$5.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $13.68
- Potential payout
- $22.8
- Potential profit
- $9.12
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $4.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.79
- Potential profit
- $22.79
- User PnL
- -$20.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.77
- Potential profit
- $22.77
- User PnL
- -$8.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.77
- Potential payout
- $22.18
- Potential profit
- $19.4
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.5
- Potential profit
- $21.5
- User PnL
- -$3.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $8.14
- Potential payout
- $21.43
- Potential profit
- $13.29
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $9.41
- Potential payout
- $21.39
- Potential profit
- $11.98
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $0.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C or higher on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 28?Yes 41% 21.39 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 28?Yes 35% 21.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 28?Yes 21.2% 22.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 28?Yes 14% 23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 28?Yes 47% 23.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28?Yes 30% 23.07 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 28?Yes 38.2% 23.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 28?Yes 41% 22.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 28?Yes 12% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 27?Yes 31% 23.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 27?Yes 38% 23.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 27?Yes 19% 23.84 shares