0x4921...55b7

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $37.67
Potential profit: $37.61
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $25.1
Potential profit: $24.21
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $20.97
Potential profit: $19.83
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.09
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $19.16
Potential profit: $19.11
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $18.81
Potential profit: $18.32
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $18.61
Potential profit: $17.49
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $16.77
Potential profit: $15.34
Multiplier: 11.70x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.94
Potential payout: $13.36
Potential profit: $11.42
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$2.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $11.6
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $11.28
Potential profit: $11.27
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.83
Potential profit: $10.82
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.57
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $1.48
Potential payout: $9.23
Potential profit: $7.75
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $8.57
Potential profit: $6.94
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $7.99
Potential profit: $7.69
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $6.68
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on June 28?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $7.05
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $6.26
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $5.64
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $6.66
Potential profit: $6.16
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $6.66
Potential profit: $5.29
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $6.29
Potential profit: $4.25
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $2.67
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $2.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C or below on June 28?

Implied probability: 25%
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $2.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $1.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 28?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.08x
User PnL: $1.03

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 23%
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 22%
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 28?