No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $57.96
- Potential payout
- $67
- Potential profit
- $9.05
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Polymarket Trader
larissagordon7917
0x4925e7afee1807978e983be387e9a8ed5837791c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $57.96
- Realized PnL
- $13.96
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.53
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.31
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.3%
- Multiplier
- 4.71x
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 11–18?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 69% 84 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes 7% 129 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 4.6% 98 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 96.6% 67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 19 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 5.2% 70 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 88.4% 28 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 88.4% 28 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 98.7% 30 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 98.7% 30 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.1% 62 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 20.5% 66 shares