Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $8.19K
- Potential profit
- $7.17K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$617.01
Polymarket Trader
aviknows
0x49279a52e761aa3da129caf5d482f31099ec22a0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.02K
- Realized PnL
- $8.43K
- Win rate
- 68.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.36K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$419.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $959.55
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $662.82
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.16
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.51
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.08
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $147.98
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.9
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$70
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$88.36
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$153.68
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$197.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes 10.9% 11 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 9.5% 989 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 11.8% 28.81 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 54.6% 10,995.97 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes 38.4% 2,604.22 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes 37.7% 2,651.02 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 63.4% 122.05 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 44% 366.13 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 32% 508.09 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 95.2% 2,547.12 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 65% 1,456.92 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 66.5% 669.83 shares