No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0x4927c94BAB53EDAE07C186D23b3d29daF1FD0F32-1773601324870
0x4927c94bab53edae07c186d23b3d29daf1fd0f32
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $319.22
- Realized PnL
- $510.38
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $598.1
- Potential profit
- $598.1
- User PnL
- -$95
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $9.49
- Potential payout
- $558.1
- Potential profit
- $548.61
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$5.51
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $200.36
- Potential payout
- $336.74
- Potential profit
- $136.38
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $7.39
VP.Prodigy position
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $309.53
- Potential profit
- $309.53
- User PnL
- -$3.13
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $11.7
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $288.3
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.50 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $4.84
- Potential payout
- $241.9
- Potential profit
- $237.06
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.16
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230.77
- Potential profit
- $230.77
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.20 and $3.50 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $4.82
- Potential payout
- $229.3
- Potential profit
- $224.48
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$10.18
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.33
- Potential profit
- $222.33
- User PnL
- -$12.5
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $203.86
- Potential profit
- $203.86
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $37.5
- Potential payout
- $202.73
- Potential profit
- $165.22
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$17.74
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $167.83
- Potential profit
- $167.83
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $10.93
- Potential payout
- $141.9
- Potential profit
- $130.97
- Multiplier
- 12.99x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.76
- Potential profit
- $105.76
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.08
- Potential profit
- $104.08
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.74
- Potential profit
- $77.74
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $34.8
- Potential payout
- $67.57
- Potential profit
- $32.77
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$15.2
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Power Rangers position
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.46
- Potential profit
- $58.46
- User PnL
- -$8.54
Zero Tenacity position
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.37
- Potential profit
- $54.37
- User PnL
- -$1.59
MODUS position
Dota 2: MODUS vs Inner Circle (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.52
- Potential profit
- $53.52
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Yes position
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $4.79
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $36.88
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$5.21
Power Rangers position
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.83
- Potential profit
- $38.83
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.62
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.17
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.11
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.19
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
NAVI Junior position
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $17.44
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.22
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.67
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.73
VP.Prodigy position
Dota 2: 1win vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.31
MOUZ position
Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.83
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $13.12
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.11
Pipsqueak+4 position
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
Pipsqueak+4 position
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
Zero Tenacity position
Dota 2: 1win vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.82
No position
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $6.46
Yes position
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Multiplier
- 13.89x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.4%
- Multiplier
- 5.43x
- User PnL
- $5.29
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $5.22
Team Lynx position
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?Yes 8.8% 100.23 shares
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on June 30, 2026?Yes 5% 179.93 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes 57.3% 336.74 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Yes 24% 263.15 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 13% 95.23 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes 1.1% 221.77 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?Yes 12% 41.67 shares
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on June 30, 2026?Yes 4.8% 41.66 shares
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on June 30, 2026?Yes 2.3% 221.6 shares
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?Yes 48% 146.45 shares
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.50 on June 30, 2026?Yes 2.8% 140.45 shares
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.20 and $3.50 on June 30, 2026?Yes 2.9% 170.48 shares