Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $108.5
- Potential payout
- $699.99
- Potential profit
- $591.49
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$303.99
Polymarket Trader
CaboDeLaVela
0x492d4e7e97b93865b3dbf0f5d36b0cf8b8779487
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $807.54
- Realized PnL
- $2.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $464.41
- Potential profit
- $464.41
- User PnL
- -$395.7
No position
Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $391.57
- Potential payout
- $409.81
- Potential profit
- $18.24
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $38.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $358.18
- Potential profit
- $358.18
- User PnL
- -$300
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$185
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $191.72
- Potential profit
- $191.72
- User PnL
- -$112.59
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.49
- Potential profit
- $169.49
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.55
- Potential profit
- $129.55
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $116.28
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $96.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.05
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.95
Y
Yes position
Will Haiti be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $95.2
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.8
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$90
Y
Yes position
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $56.99
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $43.01
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$33.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $75.07
- Potential profit
- $73.08
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$5.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.92
- Potential profit
- $72.92
- User PnL
- -$57.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.88
- Potential profit
- $71.88
- User PnL
- -$64.69
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.3%
- Current value
- $10.77
- Potential payout
- $66.28
- Potential profit
- $55.51
- Multiplier
- 6.15x
- User PnL
- -$35.55
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $34.4
- Potential payout
- $36.33
- Potential profit
- $1.93
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.34
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $3.85
- Potential payout
- $14.83
- Potential profit
- $10.97
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$7.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $11.76
- User PnL
- -$10.55
Yes position
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $10.74
- Potential profit
- $10.7
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
No position
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $7.28
- Potential payout
- $8.18
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $548.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $208.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $190.15
Yes position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.78
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $100.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.2
Yes position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.74
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.57
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- $57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETDown 83% 240.96 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETDown 51.4% 583.58 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETDown 99% 101.01 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETDown 89% 44.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETUp 95.4% 104.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETUp 95% 105.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETDown 92% 217.39 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETDown 89% 112.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETUp 88.5% 338.91 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETDown 76% 300 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETDown 94% 425.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETDown 96.9% 412.82 shares