Polymarket Trader

GamerBolo

@JoneD198664990

0x493029126348826610d1766a410d290fad6182ab

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.59K
Realized PnL: $2.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $177.25
Potential payout: $4.38K
Potential profit: $4.2K
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$169.33

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

New pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $155.83
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.68K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$44.17

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $102.09
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $1.7K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $8.97
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$40.19

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$2.95

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $11.34
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$3.78

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.47
Potential payout: $867.49
Potential profit: $864.02
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$186.66

Yes position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $83.1
Potential payout: $861.18
Potential profit: $778.08
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: -$11.3

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $790
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $549.98
Potential payout: $785.68
Potential profit: $235.7
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $168.94

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $507.98
Potential profit: $506.71
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$37.37

No position

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $458.27
Potential profit: $458.27
User PnL: -$195.28

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $439.5
Potential profit: $439.5
User PnL: -$154.54

Yes position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $238.93
Potential payout: $426.66
Potential profit: $187.73
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $97.9

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $55.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $344.6
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 4?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $367.13
Potential profit: $367.13
User PnL: -$20.1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $97.26
Potential payout: $318.9
Potential profit: $221.64
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $21.16

Yes position

Will gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318
Potential profit: $318
User PnL: -$49.64

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $25.03
Potential payout: $312.86
Potential profit: $287.83
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$5.37

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $6.42
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $293.58
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$26.58

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $43.61
Potential payout: $235.71
Potential profit: $192.11
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362.92

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 30-January 5?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $278.64

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $172.45

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.57

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.43

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 23-29?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.95

No position

Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.74

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 on June 3?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.85

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.55

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.33

No position

Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.99

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.35

No position

Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.68

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.42

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.33

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.99

No position

Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.33

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.18

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.01

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 16-22?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.72

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 23-29?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.24

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 52% 94.9 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 34.7% 159.84 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 30.9% 21.57 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 35% 24 shares
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 1,300 shares
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 6.9% 100 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 70.6% 301.79 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 77% 24.68 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 76.5% 100 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Yes 1.4% 1,080 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 56.5% 177.12 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 16% 26.36 shares