Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $34.84K
- Potential payout
- $63.93K
- Potential profit
- $29.09K
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $3.62K
Polymarket Trader
BitcoinerRetired
0x4930ce3ef76a18074a338d6888408b4ec3abd78d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $34.84K
- Realized PnL
- $31.55K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,400 on October 11?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.42K
No position
Will Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
Ends Oct 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39K
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1K
Yes position
Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
Another Iran strike on Israel in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $986.76
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $984.51
No position
Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $835.96
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $771.06
No position
Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.25
Yes position
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.49
No position
Will Milton make landfall as a category 2 or lower?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.35
No position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $160.59
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $104
No position
Netanyahu out by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.62
No position
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.5
Yes position
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$164.37
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$295.24
Yes position
Will Trump say "FEMA" during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?
Ends Oct 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$309.65
Yes position
U.S. military action against Iran before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$381.15
Yes position
Israel military response against Iran in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$613.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 49.4% 5,768.16 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 44.7% 23,827.58 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 54% 185 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 53.8% 15,425 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 51.8% 7,964.72 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 48.9% 4,495.51 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 48% 525 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 47% 944.26 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No 37.6% 4,500 shares
- Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?No 78.4% 1,820.47 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 43.5% 2,000 shares
- Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes 41.1% 6,000 shares