Polymarket Trader

firehope

0x49319f1f53e4e3e57e8fa1b3fc81f372e6986f58

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $39.25K
Realized PnL: -$962.14
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.45K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $97.55K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $6.28K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $43.73K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $1.43K

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $3.57K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $46.43K
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$80

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80.4%
Current value: $16.07K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $3.93K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$219.96

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.63K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $3.51K
Potential payout: $4.01K
Potential profit: $501.78
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $80.24

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $3.75K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $250
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $190

No position

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $2.25K
Potential payout: $3.92K
Potential profit: $1.67K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.37

Under position

Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$990

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $398.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.5

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.93

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.46

Yes position

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$89.99

Yes position

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$120.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$125

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$151

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$174.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$174.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$299.99

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$327.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5

Under 55% 1,800 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.7% 50,000 shares
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?

Yes 81% 149.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Down 76% 0.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Up 42% 199.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Down 86% 34.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Down 37.6% 147.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Up 11% 89.59 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Up 3% 199.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Up 4.4% 399.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Down 18% 63.15 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

No 47% 300 shares