Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $4.28
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $195.72
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $3.28
Polymarket Trader
0x4933F82DdfbF38E1280ac096932e09218582719F-1781061689922
0x4933f82ddfbf38e1280ac096932e09218582719f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.13
- Realized PnL
- $13.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $6.85
- Potential payout
- $11.82
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- Multiplier
- 1.73x
- User PnL
- $4.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $11.24
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes 37% 2.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETUp 66% 2.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETUp 49% 2.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp 65% 1.72 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp 58% 1.72 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp 54% 1.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp 59% 1.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETDown 58% 1.72 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETDown 89% 1.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETDown 69% 1.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETDown 71% 1.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETDown 61% 1.64 shares