Polymarket Trader

0x4935...dfda

0x493595eb4a9c8805bc5a6ee0501a335e2e8fdfda

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $2.25K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $2.15K
User PnL: -$176.56

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $70.08
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$106.48

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$176.56

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 17.6%
Current value: $221.96
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 5.68x
User PnL: $45.4

Yes position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $491.82
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $769.26
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $315.27

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $330.68
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $809.61
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $148.24

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $26.23
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$156.22

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $10.2
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$74.43

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $127.51
Potential payout: $980.86
Potential profit: $853.35
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $9.81

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $82.53
Potential payout: $868.74
Potential profit: $786.21
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$99.91

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $16.3
Potential payout: $795.29
Potential profit: $778.98
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$160.25

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $729.78
Potential profit: $729.78
User PnL: -$72.98

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $254.24
Potential payout: $706.22
Potential profit: $451.98
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $148.31

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $689.66
Potential profit: $689.66
User PnL: -$55.17

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $43.97
Potential payout: $517.25
Potential profit: $473.28
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$38.79

Yes position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $108.04
Potential payout: $502.52
Potential profit: $394.48
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$57.79

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $490.43
Potential profit: $487.49
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$55.91

Yes position

Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $102.87
Potential payout: $437.74
Potential profit: $334.87
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $54.72

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $383.97
Potential profit: $383.97
User PnL: -$107.51

No position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $14.71
Potential payout: $367.82
Potential profit: $353.11
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$29.43

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340.3
Potential profit: $340.3
User PnL: -$71.46

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 61.2%
Current value: $207.69
Potential payout: $339.36
Potential profit: $131.67
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $93.66

No position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $10.33
Potential payout: $291.81
Potential profit: $281.48
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$21.77

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 46.4%
Current value: $125.6
Potential payout: $270.99
Potential profit: $145.39
Multiplier: 2.16x
User PnL: $66.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?

No 91% 25.06 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Yes 58% 10 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

No 68% 31.1 shares
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Yes 13% 269.89 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

Yes 26% 87.71 shares
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Yes 21% 645.32 shares
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 25% 131.36 shares
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

No 73% 31.24 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 89% 25.62 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 16% 383.4 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

No 89% 25.62 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 81% 28.15 shares