Polymarket Trader

irishwolf

0x494705b6829325652d93843aef64b440aabba7b3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $100.16
Realized PnL: $19.51
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Warren Petersen be the Arizona Attorney General Republican nominee?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $13.27
Potential payout: $145.83
Potential profit: $132.56
Multiplier: 10.99x
User PnL: -$21.73

Yes position

Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $15.66
Potential payout: $74.58
Potential profit: $58.92
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$5.07

Yes position

Will a UK social media ban take effect by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $7.16
Potential payout: $68.18
Potential profit: $61.02
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$7.84

No position

Will there be no next Transport Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.1%
Current value: $21
Potential payout: $32.79
Potential profit: $11.79
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$1.49

No position

Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Aug 17, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $14.41
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?

Ends Sep 28, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $14.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $5.3
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $8.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11.7
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.8
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$8.4

Yes position

Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $4.45
Potential payout: $9.68
Potential profit: $5.23
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$0.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.68
Potential profit: $5.68
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.51
Potential profit: $5.51
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.49
Potential profit: $5.49
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.49
Potential profit: $5.49
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.49
Potential profit: $5.49
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $5.43
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $5.43
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Yes 19% 20 shares
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Yes 19% 19.6 shares
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Yes 20% 45 shares
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Yes 20% 30 shares
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Yes 18.6% 94.59 shares
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

No 34.5% 13.05 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

No 47% 57.37 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

No 71% 23.04 shares
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?

No 55.2% 7 shares
MLB All-Star Game

American League 45% 71.42 shares
Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

Yes 21% 5.03 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 11?

No 38.2% 36.58 shares