Polymarket Trader

hokagefighter

0x494af6fac10e250c8534932f7fc7b0e12d64f75e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $115.58
Realized PnL: $206.81
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.78K
Potential profit: $7.78K
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $115.58
Potential payout: $585.21
Potential profit: $469.63
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $115.58

No position

Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: $0

No position

Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 18–May 24, 2026?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: $0

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.12
Potential profit: $41.12
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.75
Potential profit: $31.75
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

Down position

Meta (META) Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.68

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.8

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.97

Up position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Down position

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

No position

Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

No position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-03?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.34

Up position

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

No position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

Down position

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Masters?

Ends Apr 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Vietnam before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.7% 585.21 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Yes 99.3% 1,082.59 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Yes 99.9% 1,062.75 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Yes 98.8% 1,062.75 shares
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?

No 5% 26.12 shares
Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?

Yes 94.5% 167.19 shares
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-24?

No 63% 31.75 shares
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?

No 7% 5 shares
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?

Yes 90.3% 20 shares
Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?

Yes 97.4% 900 shares
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?

No 63% 35.07 shares
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No 85% 22.34 shares