Polymarket Trader

0x4954edF2A0959FC4f752Ca4eFa836E30B65966D4-1778320794225

0x4954edf2a0959fc4f752ca4efa836e30b65966d4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $468.19
Realized PnL: $151.12
Win rate: 76.9%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $671.64
Potential profit: $671.64
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $335.78
Potential payout: $340.54
Potential profit: $4.77
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $30.3

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $132.42
Potential payout: $203.72
Potential profit: $71.3
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$17.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.83

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.53

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.5

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.98

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.23

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.77

Over 5.5 position

NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.81

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$1.29

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.1%
Multiplier: 5.25x
User PnL: -$1.93

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.2% 323.72 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 175.43 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.2% 270.27 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.9% 201.15 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.8% 344.82 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Spurs 94% 1,063.83 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.4% 1,058.61 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 99.9% 60.82 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 87% 110.34 shares
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 70.4% 141.99 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 44% 227.27 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 91% 164.26 shares