Polymarket Trader

Bumblefrog

0x495e26cff8a21b843043c7c4217c13ad5c319a96

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.54K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $807.39K
Potential profit: $807.39K
User PnL: -$5.23K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $335K
Potential profit: $335K
User PnL: -$670

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310K
Potential profit: $310K
User PnL: -$1.45K

Yes position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $21.72K
Potential payout: $299.59K
Potential profit: $277.87K
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: -$4.37K

Yes position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.43K
Potential profit: $164.43K
User PnL: -$11.18K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.43K
Potential profit: $32.43K
User PnL: -$2.33K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 9?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.55K
Potential profit: $28.55K
User PnL: -$1.64K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 6?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.25K
Potential profit: $26.25K
User PnL: -$1.69K

Yes position

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $25.55
Potential payout: $10.22K
Potential profit: $10.19K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$334.83

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $80 April 27-May 3?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.87K
Potential profit: $9.87K
User PnL: -$692.06

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $80 on April 25?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.37K
Potential profit: $6.37K
User PnL: -$329.65

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.18K
Potential profit: $6.18K
User PnL: -$1.42K

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $70 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.42K
Potential profit: $4.42K
User PnL: -$122.78

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $60 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $724.89
Potential payout: $3.87K
Potential profit: $3.14K
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $336.53

Yes position

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $69.7
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $3.5K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$163.67

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 6?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$180.93

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 8?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $484
Potential profit: $484
User PnL: -$32.88

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 27-May 3?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.51
Potential profit: $52.51
User PnL: -$3.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 7% 2,570.16 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 250,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 85,000 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

No 0.4% 100,000 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

No 0.5% 210,000 shares
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?

Yes 88.6% 1,000 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 9% 2,528.69 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 8.8% 27,500 shares
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?

Yes 93.9% 1,500 shares
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?

Yes 94.4% 1,431.86 shares
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?

Yes 1% 400 shares
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?

Yes 0.9% 1,077.91 shares