No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $2.78K
- Potential payout
- $3.04K
- Potential profit
- $258.57
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $293.48
Polymarket Trader
0x49644068E1ddDD357979A17abb00739fc73ce326-1762907716040
0x49644068e1dddd357979a17abb00739fc73ce326
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.87K
- Realized PnL
- $3.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.81K
- Potential profit
- $2.81K
- User PnL
- -$1.84K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$1.88K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$1.67K
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$310
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $397.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- User PnL
- $107.2
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $399.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $9.2
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $171
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $29
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $33
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $116
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $84
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.99
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.84
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.99
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.63
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.01
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.6
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.2
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.4
No position
Will XRP reach $1.80 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99
No position
Will Solana reach $120 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.2
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.6
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 81% 400 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No 99.8% 999.99 shares