Yes position
Will Dogecoin reach $1 before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- User PnL
- -$120.84
Polymarket Trader
CHAT
0x496cf4cd50284b82dee1b6bddbad0ddbe3a27220
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.27K
- Realized PnL
- $1.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $735.42
- Potential profit
- $735.42
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $576.34
- Potential payout
- $580.41
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- User PnL
- $76.34
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $93.75
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $322.92
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$206.25
No position
Will the price of Solana be above $190 on October 13?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $307.69
- Potential profit
- $307.69
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $281.49
- Potential profit
- $281.49
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $227.63
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $35.53
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $27.63
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $209.26
- Potential payout
- $221.33
- Potential profit
- $12.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $9.26
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $126,000 September 29-October 5?
Ends Oct 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155.85
- Potential profit
- $155.85
- User PnL
- -$20
ETH position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.93
- Potential profit
- $144.93
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.93
- Potential profit
- $144.93
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.36
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $141.34
- Potential profit
- $141.34
- User PnL
- -$100
$3,000 position
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $60.06
- Potential payout
- $134.96
- Potential profit
- $74.9
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$39.94
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $101.84
- Potential payout
- $105.26
- Potential profit
- $3.42
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will Solana dip to $100 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$96
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.77
- Potential profit
- $97.77
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $86.91
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be between $210 and $220 on October 8?
Ends Oct 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.78
- Potential profit
- $48.78
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.16
- Potential profit
- $42.16
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.9
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on October 7?
Ends Oct 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $19.61
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Bitcoin up on Nov 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.71
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.62
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 12?
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.45
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86
No position
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.15
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.52
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.93
No position
Will Solana reach $250 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.5
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.14
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.78
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.28
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.06
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.39
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.27
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.74
SOL position
Will ETH or SOL reach all-time high first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.65
No position
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.83
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
No position
Will Solana reach $270 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.14
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.1
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.05
Yes position
Will Trump say "Colombia" this week? (January 11)
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 91% 439.56 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes 72% 416.67 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 57% 313.26 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 63.8% 313.27 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETUp 22.1% 22.61 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETUp 33.3% 75.16 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?Yes 51% 19.61 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?Yes 6.9% 144.93 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?No 89.9% 111.18 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?$3,000 74.1% 134.96 shares
- Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?Yes 96.1% 104.09 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 94% 106.38 shares