Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x497a9D948fAE8119Ff54684aDb4C680f8C590b44-1783279441061
0x497a9d948fae8119ff54684adb4c680f8c590b44
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.64
- Realized PnL
- $5.69
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.35
- Potential profit
- $24.35
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $8.05
- Potential payout
- $23.33
- Potential profit
- $15.29
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.4%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $9.64
- Multiplier
- 2.68x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $7.41
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 6.39x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $0.82
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $3.73
- Multiplier
- 5.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.8%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $3.96
- Potential profit
- $3.1
- Multiplier
- 4.60x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.3%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $2.41
- Potential profit
- $1.51
- Multiplier
- 2.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $2.27
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.7%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $2.05
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 12?Yes 30% 23.33 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 44% 2.27 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes 13.5% 7.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETDown 15% 6.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETUp 43% 3.12 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETDown 44% 2.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETUp 64% 3.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETUp 35% 2.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETUp 5% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETUp 23% 4.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETDown 32% 3.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETUp 56% 12.63 shares