Polymarket Trader

0x497Ad50d16E5d9AfFe455F535C2E734D34Fd89fd-1763334598039

0x497ad50d16e5d9affe455f535c2e734d34fd89fd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $64.8
Realized PnL: $756.7
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.28K
Potential profit: $9.28K
User PnL: -$9.28

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.97K
Potential profit: $3.97K
User PnL: -$39.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $13.53
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.24K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $3.53

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $48.33
Potential payout: $644.44
Potential profit: $596.11
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$79.67

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $437.97
Potential profit: $437.97
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $297.32
Potential profit: $297.32
User PnL: -$68.38

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.15
Potential profit: $296.15
User PnL: -$22.5

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 15-21?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.1
Potential profit: $121.1
User PnL: -$62

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $108.17
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$7.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.35
Potential profit: $76.35
User PnL: -$48.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.4
Potential profit: $68.4
User PnL: -$28.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.25
Potential profit: $55.25
User PnL: -$19.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.62
Potential profit: $43.62
User PnL: -$19.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.79
Potential profit: $41.79
User PnL: -$19.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.79
Potential profit: $41.79
User PnL: -$19.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.79
Potential profit: $41.79
User PnL: -$19.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.83
Potential profit: $38.83
User PnL: -$19.27

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.65
Potential profit: $38.65
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.56
Potential profit: $38.56
User PnL: -$19.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.56
Potential profit: $38.56
User PnL: -$19.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.32
Potential profit: $38.32
User PnL: -$19.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210

Finland position

World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.39

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 18% 544.44 shares
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland

Finland 99.9% 212.76 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 1% 3,972 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 9% 111.11 shares
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland

Finland 47% 212.77 shares
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Yes 0.4% 2,254.45 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 30% 100 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Yes 12% 166.67 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 909.09 shares
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 9.8% 30.61 shares
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 81% 6.17 shares
Will Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?

Yes 23% 297.32 shares