Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $363.64
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $163.64
Polymarket Trader
0x497B4c6496845Dc10E1Fa57AEaE2bd0C9980717E-1772220119566
0x497b4c6496845dc10e1fa57aeae2bd0c9980717e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.41K
- Realized PnL
- $8.67K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3.08
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.23
Yes position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $332.11
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$122.46
Yes position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.33
- Potential payout
- $883.67
- Potential profit
- $882.35
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$16.67
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $568.2
- Potential payout
- $737.92
- Potential profit
- $169.72
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $292.62
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $208.33
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $49.63
- Potential payout
- $89.43
- Potential profit
- $39.8
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $15.13
No position
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $78.3
- Potential profit
- $77.91
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.61
No position
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $51.93
- Potential payout
- $76.93
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $11.93
Up position
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $34.96
- Potential payout
- $38.63
- Potential profit
- $3.67
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $955.74
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $909.3
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $613.75
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $411.72
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357.08
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.87
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.64
No position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.78
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $172.23
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $105.58
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.65
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.95
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.17
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.15
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.96
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.22
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 12, 2026?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.91
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.07
No position
Will Allbirds (BIRD) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.3
Yes position
Will Kanye tweet again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.98
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.86
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 48% 208.33 shares
- Databricks IPO before 2027?Yes 24.5% 20.4 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 746.27 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 746.27 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes 36% 1,379.31 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes 58% 1,379.31 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes 70% 428.57 shares
- Databricks IPO before 2027?Yes 22.9% 87.39 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes 69% 724.64 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.9% 923.6 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 75.5% 2,856.73 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes 37% 1,006.03 shares