No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.88K
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $109.24
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $618.71
Polymarket Trader
Darkmans
0x4988592b679f5c16253d52207ac09cbde26ae0e6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.88K
- Realized PnL
- $2.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $376.5
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372.09
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.79
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.08
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $192.16
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.12
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.61
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.07
Yes position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $107
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.77
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.41
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.6
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $52.87
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.8
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Multiplier
- 4.90x
- User PnL
- $40.2
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.75
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.96
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.3
Yes position
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.92
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.06
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.04
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.48
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.9
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 66% 122.29 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 64% 100 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes 68% 940 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 53% 140.53 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes 28% 380 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes 25% 420 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes 71% 320 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes 94% 377.71 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes 70% 496.54 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes 68% 413.01 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes 76.6% 30 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes 81.7% 231 shares