weather.macau

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $401.3
Potential profit: $401.1
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$27.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $3.06
Potential payout: $359.7
Potential profit: $356.65
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$8.08

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $279.01
Potential payout: $338.19
Potential profit: $59.18
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $195.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $289.97
Potential profit: $289.83
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$57.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $286
Potential profit: $285.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $47.45
Potential payout: $263.61
Potential profit: $216.16
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $12.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $249.99
Potential profit: $249.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.33
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $15.97
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $134.02
Multiplier: 9.39x
User PnL: $6.98

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $4.54
Potential payout: $128.33
Potential profit: $123.79
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $90.82
Potential payout: $117.19
Potential profit: $26.37
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $38.44

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.5
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.39

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $70.57
Potential payout: $70.78
Potential profit: $0.21
User PnL: $7.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $69.9
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.78
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$3.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.62
Potential profit: $46.62
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.72
Potential profit: $44.72
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $44.39
Potential profit: $43.92
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$5.15

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $35.8
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $34.93
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $23.68

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.73
Potential profit: $28.73
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.44
Potential profit: $24.44
User PnL: -$1.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $24
User PnL: -$3.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.88

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.97

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.45

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: $2.06

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 13?