Yes position
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $28.82K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$2.65K
Polymarket Trader
revanchist
0x498abb90c40df06537c614dc97f78935317a5e7b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.46K
- Realized PnL
- $1.19K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$8.76K
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $5.65K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $4.35K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $453.13
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $115
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.89K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$258.34
No position
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $4.51K
- Potential payout
- $5.22K
- Potential profit
- $704.46
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.97K
- Potential profit
- $4.97K
- User PnL
- -$397.87
Yes position
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.99K
- Potential profit
- $2.99K
- User PnL
- -$231.52
No position
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- User PnL
- -$236.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $602
No position
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $587.65
Yes position
Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $529.21
Yes position
Will John Fetterman applaud during Trump's State of the Union?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.08
Yes position
Will Trump say "Dell" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.76
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie applaud during Trump's State of the Union?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $74
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.31
No position
Will Consensys IPO by March 31 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.91
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.4
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.3%
- Multiplier
- 4.49x
- User PnL
- $15.05
Yes position
Will Ashley B. Moody be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will John E. Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
Ends Sep 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Ashley Hinson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$12.4
Yes position
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.93x
- User PnL
- -$88.17
Yes position
Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$129.12
Yes position
Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$130
No position
Will Trump say "Minnesota" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$178.63
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$227.87
Yes position
Will Trump say "Somalia" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$320
No position
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$336.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes 0.3% 1,099.55 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 36% 273.19 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 23.7% 485.43 shares
- Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes 76.6% 161.27 shares
- Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?Yes 0.1% 1,503.35 shares
- Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 3.7% 10,000 shares
- Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No 95% 150 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 48% 2,000 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 48% 2,000 shares
- Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Yes 11.1% 5,000 shares
- Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Yes 11.4% 9,788 shares
- Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Yes 9.9% 5,018 shares