Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $9.24K
- Potential payout
- $16.36K
- Potential profit
- $7.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$74.69
Polymarket Trader
tNUb7u2zW8RRR32NqzjKv8Hws
0x49924df491e5cb00193c1f32324dd59eadaf00c8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.38K
- Realized PnL
- -$1.55K
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $4.11K
- Potential payout
- $8.07K
- Potential profit
- $3.95K
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$792.47
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $4.81K
- Potential payout
- $7.76K
- Potential profit
- $2.95K
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$1.05K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.72K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $285
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $705
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $2.55K
- Potential payout
- $2.87K
- Potential profit
- $316.65
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.58K
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.3%
- Current value
- $217.83
- Potential payout
- $979.01
- Potential profit
- $761.18
- Multiplier
- 4.49x
- User PnL
- $38.52
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.6%
- Current value
- $367.61
- Potential payout
- $979
- Potential profit
- $611.39
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- -$42.59
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $361.87
- Potential payout
- $363.51
- Potential profit
- $1.64
- User PnL
- $146.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $538.83
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $478.13
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.04
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$14.9
Yes position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$33.35
Yes position
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$57.9
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$93.7
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$96
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$96.66
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$407.33
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$999.9
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.27K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 76% 9.22 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 11% 0.39 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 76.4% 7,534.33 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 11% 13,649.44 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 13% 4,574.01 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 21.1% 10,000 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 56.9% 16,361.18 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 25% 3,888.98 shares
- Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 1.8% 100 shares
- Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 0.1% 100 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 60.8% 8,065 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes 4.8% 588 shares