Polymarket Trader

tongge

0x499264b6d40c43bb32e7efde960ece5e46eca929

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $218.96
Realized PnL: $1.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$4.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260.26
Potential profit: $260.26
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $218.96
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $11.04
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.27
Potential profit: $171.27
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 23?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6.9

China position

AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.24
Potential profit: $73.24
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.25
Potential profit: $54.25
User PnL: -$34.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.85
Potential profit: $21.85
User PnL: -$18.55

Down position

Solana Up or Down - November 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.85
Potential profit: $5.85
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93
Potential profit: $1.93
User PnL: -$0.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $417.7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.99

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.93

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.44

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 14?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.64

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.65

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.29

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.19

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.61

No position

Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.77

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.72

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.29

No position

Over $120M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.56

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.63

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.24

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 99.5% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 95.8% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 93.3% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 88% 199.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 97.6% 261 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 88% 344.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 91.6% 295.4 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 96.7% 582.95 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 95.2% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 84% 80 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 99.5% 397.6 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 85% 95.85 shares