Polymarket Trader

5Certy

0x49a58def4c16971a03f3c7dfab87a949b23c313b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.05
Realized PnL: $2.86
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will "Gabby's Dollhouse: The Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.26
Potential profit: $3.26
User PnL: -$2.48

ZETA DIVISION position

Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3)

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $2.13
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Will I’m The Problem by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 7?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08
Potential profit: $1.08
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $1.06
Potential profit: $0.02
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?

Ends Oct 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Will Aaron Rodgers leave the Jets?

Ends Sep 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

Blonde Broker position

Blonde Broker vs Ashley

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Megaquake in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will OpenAI sue Elon Musk before 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Germany declare a state of emergency in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Ding Liren plays in 2024 World Chess Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

QBgami in NFL Week 15?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 99.6% 100.1 shares
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 99.9% 100.1 shares
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?

No 99.1% 133.12 shares
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

No 99.5% 84.84 shares
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?

No 99.2% 132.06 shares
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?

No 99.1% 132 shares
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?

No 99.2% 133.06 shares
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

No 99.5% 84.42 shares
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

No 99.4% 84 shares
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

No 99.5% 84.42 shares
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?

No 98.7% 63.25 shares
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?

No 99% 62.63 shares