Polymarket Trader

uhoh1

@MentalMonkeyM

0x49a8c6ea1146a69b299cf7d5be3a63b366937153

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.34K
Realized PnL: $2.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$9

No position

Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $998.32
Potential profit: $998.32
User PnL: -$89.85

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $551.81
Potential profit: $551.81
User PnL: -$91.13

No position

Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $427.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $72.5
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $92.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $407.5
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $27.5

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $82
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $318
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$135.56

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $146
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $254
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $40.93
Potential payout: $355.89
Potential profit: $314.96
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$158.14

No position

3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $277.92
Potential payout: $317.62
Potential profit: $39.7
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$17.47

Yes position

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $30.14
Potential payout: $182.69
Potential profit: $152.55
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$93.21

No position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181
Potential profit: $181
User PnL: -$10.68

Yes position

Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $155.48
Potential payout: $176.68
Potential profit: $21.2
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $14.13

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $33.75
Potential payout: $153.43
Potential profit: $119.68
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$70.58

No position

Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $54.46
Potential payout: $67.66
Potential profit: $13.19
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $47.02

Yes position

Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $0.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Ethereum flipped in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $434.99

Under position

Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.8

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165

No position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.49

Yes position

Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.37

Yes position

Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.4

Yes position

Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.2

No position

Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.6

No position

Solana all time high before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

No position

Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70

No position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.3

Yes position

Will Meta dip to $640 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.66

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58

Yes position

Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57

Yes position

Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

Yes position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.73

Yes position

Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.5

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 24?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Yes 80% 176.68 shares
3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No 93% 317.62 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

No 5.9% 181 shares
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score

Yes 49% 100 shares
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

Under 52% 460 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 31% 114.42 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

No 35% 300 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 7% 480 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Yes 99.8% 295 shares
Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

No 9% 998.32 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Yes 16.4% 470.11 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No 74% 400 shares