No position
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $311.93
- Potential payout
- $362.7
- Potential profit
- $50.78
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $7.96
Polymarket Trader
3zekiel
0x49b16a5f9e86796c9312c085590ead3ea292c280
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $489.76
- Realized PnL
- $2.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $87.96
- Potential payout
- $95.66
- Potential profit
- $7.7
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.89
Yes position
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $27.14
- Potential payout
- $74.37
- Potential profit
- $47.22
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $62.73
- Potential payout
- $73.8
- Potential profit
- $11.07
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $758.26
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.33
No position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.3
No position
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.76
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.85
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.01
No position
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.09
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $77.62
No position
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.53
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57.43
Yes position
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.78
No position
Will there be fewer than 1480 measles cases in the U.S. on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $46.92
Yes position
Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.43
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.05
No position
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 30–June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.19
Yes position
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.39
No position
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 4–11?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.02
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.14
No position
GTA VI released before November 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $25.33
No position
1,350+ Measles cases in U.S. before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.12
Yes position
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.76
Yes position
Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.04
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 37.8% 94.56 shares
- GTA VI released before November 2026?No 95% 10 shares
- Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 99.7% 100 shares
- Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 99.6% 26.8 shares
- Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?No 99.9% 59.99 shares
- Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?No 99.9% 159.99 shares
- Will the next governing coalition of Romania include AUR?No 97.9% 63.65 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 74% 2.01 shares
- Will the next governing coalition of Romania include AUR?No 96.8% 130 shares
- Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?No 6% 10.99 shares
- Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Yes 95.1% 20.23 shares
- Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Yes 95.4% 11.09 shares