Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $30.79K
- Potential payout
- $84.34K
- Potential profit
- $53.56K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $1.93K
Polymarket Trader
xyz9999
0x49b306b0c083ebf5230dce5b151ecfaf63f06486
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.94K
- Realized PnL
- $126.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.49K
- Potential profit
- $32.49K
- User PnL
- -$27.5K
Yes position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $3.03K
- Potential payout
- $31.91K
- Potential profit
- $28.88K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$719.12
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $126.4
- Potential payout
- $16.85K
- Potential profit
- $16.73K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$475
Flavio Cobolli position
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$9.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.39K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.19K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.2K
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.82K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.01K
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.59K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $989.98
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $934.23
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $656.34
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $596.11
No position
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.93
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.35
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332.38
No position
Ukraine election called in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.32
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $217.17
No position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.57
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- $45.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 7% 151.17 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 85% 32,342.5 shares
- Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevFlavio Cobolli 20% 50 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 91% 286.29 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 88% 539.28 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 89% 300.52 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 64.9% 16,643.19 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 90% 1,746 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 68% 3,942.92 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 91% 6,054.66 shares
- Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes 13% 317 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 89% 10 shares