Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $41.4
- Multiplier
- 16.95x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Polymarket Trader
0x49ba...00cf
0x49bafc7111aaf955bef007378e044ba551e400cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $76.6
- Realized PnL
- -$11.69
- Win rate
- 36.4%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $10.62
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $25.38
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.46
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $15.56
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $10.29
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.3%
- Current value
- $7.33
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.67
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $8.69
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $7.7
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $6.59
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.57
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.43
- Multiplier
- 8.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.6%
- Current value
- $4.43
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Current value
- $1.69
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $15.99
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$5.51
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- -$6.62
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$16.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 5.2% 44 shares
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Yes 5.9% 20 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 96.2% 9 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 88.1% 5 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 96.4% 7 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 42.8% 10 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 94.6% 8 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 92.9% 11 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 82% 17 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 18% 8 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 56.1% 5 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 82% 9 shares