MyAccountUsername

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $19.98
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $23.85
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $15.13

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.51
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Antioquia in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $522.2
Potential payout: $528.81
Potential profit: $6.61
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $6.26

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $498.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $419.04
Potential payout: $436.96
Potential profit: $17.92
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $11.1

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $347.9
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $337.24
Potential payout: $338.08
Potential profit: $0.85
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Will Dignity Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $285.3
Potential profit: $284.87
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $260.98
Potential payout: $263.48
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Antioquia in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $221.64
Potential payout: $226.39
Potential profit: $4.75
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.7

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $173
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $27
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $167
Potential profit: $166
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $148.84
Potential payout: $150.8
Potential profit: $1.96
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $57.96
Potential payout: $58.66
Potential profit: $0.7
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $50.01
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$1.71

No position

Will Iván Cepeda win between 50% and 55% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $34.11
Potential payout: $34.44
Potential profit: $0.33
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $13.41
Potential payout: $13.8
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will voter turnout be 60%+ in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $13.15
Potential payout: $13.27
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $9.77
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Alien arrests in New York hit 5000+ by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $5.09
Potential payout: $5.3
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.37

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.9

Josh Hokit position

UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.05

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.94

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.58

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.04

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.45

Yes position

Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will "Dude" be said 20+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will Donald Trump's tie be blue?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan mayoral election by less than 5%?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?